Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics · Jan 5, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+112/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 4.5 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the hottest players in the league by this standard over this stretch of games: 88th percentile.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.
Malcolm Brogdon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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