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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Steals
Player Prop - 4/27/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has put up 1.7 steals per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.
  • Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic ranks in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 35.5 minutes per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.4 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
  • The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Lakers.
  • The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
  • Luka Doncic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance across the board.

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