Luka Doncic Steals - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Steals

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 1:34 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has totaled an impressive 1.6 steals per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 1.2 steals per game last season.
Luka Doncic has played 36.1 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
Luka Doncic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to raise player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 99th percentile for technical fouls, totaling a monstrous 0.3 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

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