Luka Doncic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 19, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has compiled 9.7 defensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 1.5 more than he's compiled over the course of the year on the road.
Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic comes in at the 99th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 37.0 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league this year, which should raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Luka Doncic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to reduce player performance in all stat categories.

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