Luka Doncic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-141/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has compiled 10.0 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's compiled over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 37.0 minutes per game this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have snagged 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

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