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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/25/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has totaled 10.0 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's totaled overall this season.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has committed 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's committed overall this year.
  • The Suns have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Mavericks.
  • This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.6 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Suns (maintaining possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).
  • Luka Doncic ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

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