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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/15/2023

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has posted 7.2 defensive boards per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league leaders in this category.
  • Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic registers in the 86th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 33.3 minutes per game this year.
  • Luka Doncic has committed a measly 1.7 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 2.5 fouls per game last season.
  • The 2nd-quickest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
  • The Wizards have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Mavericks have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • When playing away from home, the Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production across the board.

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