Luka Doncic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 2, 2023 10:53 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has averaged 9.0 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
Luka Doncic has averaged 36.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Hawks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase plays for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the league away from their home court this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luka Doncic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.