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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 8.2 defensive rebounds per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard.
  • Luka Doncic has played 35.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.
  • The Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.
  • Luka Doncic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (84th percentile).
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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