Luka Doncic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has averaged 10.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
Luka Doncic has tallied 35.0 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Jazz have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luka Doncic will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's accumulated overall this year at home.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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