Luka Doncic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has compiled 11.2 rebounds per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.8 more than he's compiled over the course of the season at home.
Luka Doncic has averaged 35.0 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
Luka Doncic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually raises player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the 76ers have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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