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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has totaled 11.2 rebounds per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.8 more than he's totaled in all games this year at home.

Luka Doncic has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.

Luka Doncic will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally improves stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing on the road, the Pacers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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