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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/26/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 11.2 rebounds per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the season at home.
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 35.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
  • The Lakers have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Mavericks.
  • Luka Doncic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this season at home.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Lakers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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