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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/20/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 9.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 36.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
  • The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to their opposition this year (which can also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally improves stat production across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (91st percentile).
  • The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league this year.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.

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