Luka Doncic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2023

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has tallied 11.0 rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
Luka Doncic has been on the court for 37.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 100th percentile.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Trail Blazers.
Luka Doncic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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