Luka Doncic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics · Jan 5, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has compiled 9.6 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's compiled overall this season.
Luka Doncic has tallied 36.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Celtics have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (which can also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luka Doncic will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.