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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 12/15/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has converted 4.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.

Luka Doncic has been on the court for 36.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile.

This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 38.4% on threes (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, resulting in a favorable matchup.

The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 32.7 mark, Luka Doncic's points per game have decreased this season to 28.1.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.

The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

In comparison to last year's 8.3 mark, Luka Doncic's number of foul shot attempts has dropped this year to 6.7 foul shot attempts per game.

Luka Doncic stands to suffer a reduction in production across the board considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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