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Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-120/-105).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 100th percentile, registering a whopping 32.7 points per game this year.Luka Doncic has attempted 10.4 3-pointers per game this season, a big improvement over his 8.2 mark last season.Luka Doncic has been on the court for 38.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 100th percentile.With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the league away from home this year has been the Mavericks.The matchup against the Celtics is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.The Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Mavericks.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.Compared to last year's 10.5 rate, Luka Doncic's number of free throws has decreased this year to 8.3 free throws per game.This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
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