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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 5/26/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-130/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile, tallying a monstrous 32.9 points per game this year.
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 10.5 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly higher than his 8.2 mark last season.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 38.2 minutes per game this year.
  • As it relates to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's fantastic 116.2 points per game rates 9th-strongest in the NBA this year.
  • Luka Doncic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually improves player performance across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.4 more than he's been called for over the course of the season at home.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on shot attempts from the field (worst in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, marking this as a difficult matchup.
  • The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.
  • The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
  • The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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