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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 5/22/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile, putting up a whopping 32.9 points per game this year.

In contrast to last season's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from downtown have risen this season to 10.5 per game.

Luka Doncic has tallied 37.8 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one for field goals; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (39.8%).

The 6th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Relative to last season's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of foul shot attempts has diminished this season to 8.5 foul shot attempts per game.

As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been poor at getting to the foul line while playing on the road: 10th-worst in the NBA this year with a measly 20.7 free throw attempts per game.

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