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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 5/18/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile, averaging an enormous 32.9 points per game this year.
  • In contrast to last season's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shots from behind the three-point arc have jumped this season to 10.5 per game.
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 38.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 100th percentile.
  • When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks's impressive 116.4 points per game places 8th-strongest in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Thunder is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Luka Doncic has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.0 higher than he's committed overall this year at home.
  • The 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with only 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.

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