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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 4/28/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 100th percentile, tallying a massive 33.7 points per game this year.
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 10.7 3-point shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 8.2 rate last year.
  • Luka Doncic has tallied 37.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 100th percentile.
  • In regard to shooting, the Mavericks's fantastic 117.2 points per game measures as the 8th-most in the league this year.
  • The matchup against Los Angeles is a positive one for scoring; when the Clippers are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 7th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
  • Relative to last year's 10.5 rate, Luka Doncic's number of foul shots has dropped this year to 8.6 foul shots per game.

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