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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has totaled 33.8 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 100th percentile.

Relative to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have jumped this year to 10.7 per game.

Luka Doncic has played 37.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 100th percentile.

With respect to 3-point attempts, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 45.6% on shots from the field (7th-best in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, designating this as a positive matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Mavericks have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the NBA with just 9.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Luka Doncic has attempted a measly 8.6 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 10.5 mark last season.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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