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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 4/12/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have risen this season to 10.6 per game.

Luka Doncic has averaged 37.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

When it comes to offense, the Mavericks's superb 121.0 points per game comes in as the 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The 5th-speediest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Mavericks are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from being pitted against the 8th-quickest pace road offense in the league this year (the Pistons).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has been called for 2.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (75th percentile).

The matchup vs. Detroit is a tough one for scoring; when the Pistons are on the road, opposing starting PGs have compiled the 2nd-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (37.4%).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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