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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/25/2024

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has compiled 34.1 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 100th percentile.

In comparison to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have spiked this year to 10.4 per game.

Luka Doncic has tallied 37.1 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's impressive 121.8 points per game as the visting team ranks most in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The 4th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have averaged 1.1 3-pointers per game (fewest in the league) against the Utah Jazz, making this a hard matchup.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 7.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Luka Doncic has attempted just 8.9 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 10.5 rate last year.

Luka Doncic should see a decline in production in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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