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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic slots into the 100th percentile, averaging an enormous 34.5 points per game this year.
  • Compared to last season's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have surged this season to 10.3 per game.
  • Luka Doncic has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • When it comes to offense, the Mavericks's excellent 118.6 points per game settles in as the 7th-most in the league this year.
  • The 6th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 4.5 3-point attempts per game (11th-fewest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, labeling this as a hard matchup.
  • The Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • Luka Doncic has attempted just 9.3 free throws per game this season, quite a bit less than his 10.5 mark last season.
  • Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (11th-fewest in the league) vs. the Raptors, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
  • Luka Doncic stands to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories considering being on the road in this contest.

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