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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2024

Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 34.5 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.

In comparison to last season's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this season to 10.4 per game.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 36.8 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.

With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's stellar 118.2 points per game rates 10th-most in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Brooklyn Nets is a good one for three-point shots; opposing starting PGs have averaged the 29th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.9).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, their opposition has captured 12.6 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets (maintaining possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense).

In comparison to last season's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of free throws has tailed off this season to 9.4 free throws per game.

The matchup against Brooklyn is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Brooklyn Nets are on their home court (13th-least in the NBA).

Luka Doncic ought to suffer a drop-off in production for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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