Luka Doncic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 3, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 8:33 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 22.0 mark, Luka Doncic's field goal attempts have spiked this year to 24.0 per game.
Luka Doncic has attempted 10.3 three-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 8.2 rate last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic lands in the 100th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 37.5 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 21.7 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity.
The 8th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 10.5 mark, Luka Doncic's number of free throws has dropped this season to 9.5 free throws per game.