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Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Compared to last year's 22.0 mark, Luka Doncic's shots from the field have increased this year to 24.0 per game.In contrast to last year's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have increased this year to 10.4 per game.Luka Doncic has played 37.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.When it comes to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's impressive 118.7 points per game ranks 7th-highest in the league this year.The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic comes in at the 100th percentile for technical fouls, logging a massive 0.2 fouls per game this year.This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 15.2 points per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.The Mavericks have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).The matchup vs. Sacramento is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 free throws per game this year when the Kings are the visiting squad (8th-least in the league).
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