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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 12/12/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic lands in the 100th percentile, averaging a monstrous 32.0 points per game playing at home this year.

Compared to last season's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have increased this season to 10.2 per game.

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.8 minutes per game this year.

The Mavericks have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year.

The 7th-speediest pace team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Lakers are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 12th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.2).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

The Lakers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic has attempted a measly 8.1 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 10.5 rate last season.

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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