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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic measures in the 99th percentile, totaling a colossal 30.5 points per game this year.

In comparison to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have jumped this year to 9.7 per game.

Luka Doncic has averaged just 1.8 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 2.5 fouls per game last year.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Houston is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Houston Rockets are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.8).

The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic has attempted a measly 7.4 foul shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 10.5 mark last season.

The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.8 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the league).

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