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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has averaged an impressive 32.8 points per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 29.0 points per game last season.

Luka Doncic has tallied 35.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

The matchup against the Kings is a favorable one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have put up the 29th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (39.0%).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (84th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Sacramento may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 1.9 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Kings are the visiting squad (14th-least in the NBA).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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