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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 21.9 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games in terms of 3-point attempts.

The matchup against the Jazz is a positive one; they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs since the start of last season (19.3).

The Jazz have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's accumulated overall this year at home.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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