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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 21.9 shots per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games as it relates to three-point attempts.

Luka Doncic has attempted 11.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Luka Doncic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually raises player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.

The matchup against the 76ers is a tough one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 15 games (10.9).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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