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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/26/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has averaged a terrific 33.8 points per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 29.0 points per game last year.
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 22.8 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 11.3 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 7.8 mark last season.
  • Luka Doncic has averaged 37.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 100th percentile.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while on the road this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from home this year.
  • The matchup against the Suns is a tough one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.3).
  • The matchup vs. the Suns may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.7 foul shots per game TIMEFRAME when playing at home (4th-least in the league).
  • Luka Doncic will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production across the board.

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