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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/24/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-128/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ +101 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -101.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has posted a whopping 33.6 points per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 29.0 points per game last season.

Luka Doncic has attempted 22.7 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.

Luka Doncic has attempted 11.3 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 7.8 mark last season.

Luka Doncic has tallied 36.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home as it relates to three-point attempts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Wizards have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games when playing on the road (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.

The matchup against the Wizards is a hard one for three-point attempts; when playing away from home, opposing starting SGs have totaled the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (5.2).

The matchup against the Wizards may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road (3rd-least [IN_THE_LEAGUE]).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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