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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/22/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luka Doncic has posted a terrific 33.7 points per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 29.0 points per game last year.
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 22.7 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 11.2 free throws per game this year, significantly more than his 7.8 rate last year.
  • Luka Doncic has played 36.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the league this year.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Clippers.
  • The matchup against the Clippers is a tough one for scoring; the other team's starting PGs have put up the lowest FG% in the league this year (39.4%).

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