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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Points
Player Prop - 1/14/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has scored a whopping 34.3 points per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 29.0 points per game last season.

Luka Doncic has made 4.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season while on the road.

Luka Doncic has attempted 11.4 foul shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 7.8 rate last season.

Luka Doncic has tallied 37.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 100th percentile.

As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been very successful at drawing fouls recently: 2nd-best in the league this year, drawing 26.4 foul shot attempts per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a tough one for shots from the field; playing at home, opposing squads have averaged the 8th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (42.0).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league when playing away from home this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Trail Blazers.

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a tough one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.0).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

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