Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/13/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 13, 2024

Updated May 14, 2024 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have risen this year to 10.5 per game.
Luka Doncic has been on the court for 38.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 100th percentile.
In regard to 3-point attempts, the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Mavericks.
The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7).
The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.3 more than he's accumulated in all games this year at home.
The 6th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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