Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · May 1, 2024

Updated May 2, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-162/+126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -156 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's 3-point attempts have increased this season to 10.7 per game.
Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 37.5 minutes per game away from home this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 8.6 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, labeling this as a good matchup.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed over the course of the year.
The Mavericks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Mavericks.
Luka Doncic should experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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