Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 11:09 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-152/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from downtown have spiked this year to 10.3 per game.
Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 37.5 minutes per game this year.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to raise plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Houston is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games when the Rockets are at home (3.0).
The Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luka Doncic figures to suffer a drop-off in output across the board in light of playing away from home in this game.

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