Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-142/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.4 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly more than his 8.2 rate last year.
Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 36.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The matchup against Atlanta is a good one for 3-point attempts; when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6).
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 90th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game away from home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Hawks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luka Doncic ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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