Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 8:16 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have surged this season to 10.4 per game.
Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 37.0 minutes per game this year.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 41.4% on 3-pointers (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, marking this as a good matchup.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).