My Account Log Out

reorder

Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Luka Doncic has attempted 10.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 8.2 rate last year.

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 35.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year.

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league while playing on the road this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Luka Doncic has tallied 0.6 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 20.5% on three-pointers (14th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, branding this as a hard matchup.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the league with just 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The Denver Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Luka Doncic Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™