Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 3:51 AM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have increased this season to 10.2 per game.
Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.8 minutes per game this year.
When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the most aggressive team in the NBA playing at home this year has been the Mavericks.
The 7th-speediest pace team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.
The Mavericks will likely see an increase in plays in this game from facing the 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has accumulated 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Lakers are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 12th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.2).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
The Lakers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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