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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last year's 8.2 rate, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have jumped this year to 10.2 per game.

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The matchup against Memphis is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Grizzlies are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 29th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (3.7).

The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic rates in the 78th percentile for technical fouls, tallying an enormous 0.1 fouls per game while at home this year.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Luka Doncic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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