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Luka Doncic

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/25/2023

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic lands in the 79th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a an exceptional 40.6% rate this year.
  • Luka Doncic has attempted 9.8 3-point shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.2 rate last year.
  • Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic comes in at the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 33.9 minutes per game this year.
  • In comparison to last season's 2.5 rate, Luka Doncic's personal fouls per game have fallen this season to 1.6.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have been the most aggressive offense in the league as the road team this year in regard to three-point attempts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Clippers have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5).
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have collected 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).
  • Luka Doncic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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