Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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Luka Doncic

NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has attempted 8.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
Luka Doncic has been on the court for 35.9 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (28th-most in the NBA) against the Magic, creating a favorable matchup.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic comes in at the 99th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a colossal 0.2 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Luka Doncic will likely experience a decrease in production across the board in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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