Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Jan 24, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has attempted 7.5 three-point shots per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Luka Doncic has sunk 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Luka Doncic has tallied 36.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which should increase possessions for the Wizards.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (91st percentile).
The Wizards have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games when playing on the road (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
The matchup against the Wizards is a hard one for three-point attempts; when playing away from home, opposing starting SGs have totaled the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (5.2).