Luka Doncic Blocks - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Luka Doncic

F-G · Dallas Mavericks

Blocks

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 8:16 PM EST

Analysis

Luka Doncic Blocks Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+450/-650).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -195 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -650.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Luka Doncic has compiled 0.5 blocks per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's hottest by this metric recently.
Luka Doncic has tallied 35.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.
Luka Doncic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Luka Doncic has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (84th percentile).
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Mavericks.